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Alberta businesses fear separation more than federal policies in 2024

Uncertainty over Alberta's future is freezing investments and delaying projects. Could separation talks derail the province's booming job growth?

The image shows an infographic poster with text and images that reads "Investing in America" and...
The image shows an infographic poster with text and images that reads "Investing in America" and provides information about the various industries that are investing in the United States. It includes details such as the number of jobs available, the types of investments available, and the estimated time it takes to invest in each industry. The poster also includes visuals such as graphs and charts to help illustrate the data.

Alberta businesses fear separation more than federal policies in 2024

A new survey by the Alberta Chamber of Commerce reveals growing concerns among businesses about the potential separation of Alberta from Canada. The issue now ranks as the top worry for companies, surpassing even federal policies in its perceived impact on investment and economic stability. Despite strong job growth in January, uncertainty around separation discussions is casting a shadow over the province's economic outlook.

The survey found that 50% of respondents view Alberta separation as an important issue, with 30% naming it their primary concern. This marks a shift from previous years, as the topic gains more attention in business circles. Meanwhile, 56% believe separation discussions are already affecting the provincial economy—a 3% rise from last year.

Uncertainty appears to be the biggest problem. Nearly 90% of those surveyed described the potential impacts as negative, pointing to issues like planning difficulties and weaker investment confidence. As a result, some businesses have put major projects on hold, waiting for clearer signals about the province's future. The survey also showed a rise in businesses directly linking separation talks to their operations. This year, 28% said the issue is impacting their company, up 6% from 2023. Alberta's jobs and economy minister, Joseph Schow, has blamed broader investor uncertainty on former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's policies, adding another layer to the debate. Despite these concerns, Alberta's economy has shown resilience. The province added nearly 42,000 full-time jobs in January, outperforming national employment growth. Yet, the lingering question of separation continues to weigh on long-term business decisions.

The survey highlights a clear divide between Alberta's current economic performance and the unease caused by separation discussions. With no new political developments on the issue, businesses remain in a state of watchful waiting. For now, the uncertainty appears to be shaping investment choices more than any immediate policy changes.

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