Allianz nears record high as Oaktree risks loom over 2026 outlook
Allianz has seen a strong year in the stock market today, with its shares closing near a 52-week high. The company’s performance in 2025 outpaced the DAX, and its long-term trend remains positive. However, concerns over its partnership with Oaktree Capital have raised questions about future risks and rewards.
The insurer’s stock finished at €390.50, just below its yearly peak, marking a 31.70% gain since January. It also holds a 9% cushion above its 200-day moving average, signalling a steady upward trajectory. Analysts now project 2026 revenue at €190.0 billion, with earnings per share expected to top €30.
In the third quarter, Allianz boosted its investment in AlTi Global to around $74.2 million. Yet, short interest in AlTi has surged, reflecting doubts about its stock market value. Meanwhile, Allianz updated its articles of association, securing legal clarity for the next fiscal year. Fitch Ratings has highlighted potential risks in Allianz’s collaboration with Oaktree, including liquidity, credit, and valuation challenges. The agency warned these could weaken the pricing power of traditional reinsurers. The key issue for 2026 will be whether Allianz can prove that the profits from its Oaktree ventures justify the identified risks.
Allianz enters 2026 with robust financial projections and a stock price near record levels. The company’s ability to manage risks in its Oaktree partnership will likely shape its stock market performance in the coming year. Investors will watch closely to see if returns outweigh the concerns raised by analysts.
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