BW Poll: CDU's Lead Melts Away - AfD Overtakes Greens - Baden-Württemberg Election 2026: CDU and AfD Neck and Neck, Greens and SPD Trailing
A recent Infratest dimap poll for the upcoming Baden-Württemberg state election on March 8, 2026, has revealed a close race among the leading parties. The CDU remains at the helm with 29% approval, followed by the AfD at 21%, while the Greens and SPD trail with 20% and 10% respectively. The Left party has secured 7% approval, enough to enter the state parliament for the first time. The FDP holds at 5%, ensuring their return to the parliament. Notably, Minister President Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) has announced he will not run for re-election after three terms, with Cem Özdemir (Greens) and Manuel Hagel (CDU) set as top candidates.
The Greens, who have been in power since 2011, have seen their approval ratings decline from a high of 32.6% in the 2021 state election to the current 20%. Meanwhile, the AfD has gained momentum, increasing their support by two percentage points to reach 21%, making them the leading party in this poll. The CDU, led by Manuel Hagel, has seen a slight decrease in support, down from 34% a year ago, but still maintains a narrow lead. The SPD and FDP have remained stable at 10% and 5% respectively, enough to secure their places in the state parliament.
The poll suggests a tight race between the CDU and the AfD, with the Greens and SPD trailing behind. The Left party's entry into the state parliament is a significant development, reflecting a shift in voter preferences. The upcoming election will be a crucial test for the established parties and a potential breakthrough for the Left party.
As the Baden-Württemberg state election approaches on March 8, 2026, the race remains tight among the leading parties. The CDU and AfD are neck and neck, with the Greens and SPD struggling to catch up. The Left party's entry into the state parliament signals a change in the political landscape. With Minister President Winfried Kretschmann stepping down, the election will also mark a shift in leadership for the Greens.
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