Bookmakers Predict Kilvart as Next Tallinn Mayor, Lukas to Oust Klaas in Tartu
Mikhail Kilvart is the overwhelming favorite to become the next mayor of Tallinn, with bookmakers giving him a coefficient of 1.15. Meanwhile, in Tartu, Fatherland candidate Tynis Lukas is tipped to win the 2024 election with a coefficient of 1.55. These odds, based on the money of thousands of people, often prove more accurate than political scientists' predictions.
Epicbet betting company's political forecasts suggest the outcomes of these mayoral elections are already decided. In Tallinn, Kilvart's victory seems certain, with other candidates considered to have minimal chances. In Tartu, Lukas is expected to oust the current reformist mayor, Urmas Klaas, who has a coefficient of 2.2, indicating a likely change of power in the 2024 presidential election.
Estonian politics is generally seen as predictable, with winners often predetermined. Bookmakers' coefficients reflect this, measuring the relative success of candidates within their parties and the individual, direct voter support. They have proven accurate in past elections, showing which candidates will actually enter the parliament after the distribution of preference votes according to party proportion.
With the mayoral elections in Tallinn and Tartu approaching, bookmakers have spoken. Mikhail Kilvart is set to become the new mayor of Tallinn, while Tynis Lukas is favored to take the reins in Tartu. Estonian politics, while predictable, still holds some surprises, as seen in the likely change of power in the 2024 election.
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