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CDU’s Migration Gamble Backfires in Shock 2025 Election Loss

A bold bet on migration reshaped Germany’s political map—but not as the CDU hoped. Voters turned away, fueling Die Linke’s unexpected rise.

In this picture we can see a close view of the identity card. In the front we can see american flag...
In this picture we can see a close view of the identity card. In the front we can see american flag and "Critical Licence" written.

CDU’s Migration Gamble Backfires in Shock 2025 Election Loss

The February 2025 federal election saw the CDU/CSU secure just 28.5% of the vote, well below earlier forecasts. The party’s focus on migration policy, including a controversial Bundestag vote with the AfD, appears to have backfired. Meanwhile, Die Linke surged to 8.8% support, gaining momentum as the campaign progressed.

In January 2025, the CDU under Friedrich Merz made migration a central issue. The strategy aimed to rally voters but instead alienated many. Some supporters shifted to the SPD or Greens, citing the CDU’s coordination with the AfD and the so-called 'firewall debate' as key concerns.

The CDU/CSU’s election performance fell short of expectations, with its migration strategy failing to deliver gains. Die Linke’s rise to 8.8% reflects voter dissatisfaction with right-wing shifts and economic pressures. The results suggest that the migration debate, rather than securing victories, reshuffled support across the political spectrum.

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