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Germany's Political Landscape: AfD Leads, CDU/CSU Gain, SPD Steady in Latest Poll

AfD maintains its lead, while CDU/CSU gains support. SPD stays steady, and FDP struggles to reach the threshold. Complex coalition-building ahead.

People are at a party. In which some are sitting around a table and some are standing.
People are at a party. In which some are sitting around a table and some are standing.

Germany's Political Landscape: AfD Leads, CDU/CSU Gain, SPD Steady in Latest Poll

The latest Insa Institute poll for Bild am Sonntag reveals a complex political landscape in Germany. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintains its lead at 26%, while the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) gained a point to 25%. The Social Democrats (SPD) hold steady at 15%. The poll, conducted with 1,001 respondents on October 29 and 30, shows a mixed public opinion on cooperation with the AfD. A majority of respondents, 48%, support maintaining a strict firewall against any collaboration, while 38% prefer defining red lines for conditional cooperation. This preference for conditional cooperation is even higher among CDU/CSU voters, with 64% approving their refusal to work with the AfD and only 26% considering it misguided. The Free Democrats (FDP), currently below the 5% threshold at 3%, face an uphill battle to secure seats in the next parliament. Other parties collectively secure 5% of the vote, making them potential kingmakers in a coalition government. The Greens and the Left Party each remain at 11%, while the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) holds at 4%. The poll underscores the challenge for mainstream parties in navigating the complex dynamics of coalition-building in the face of the AfD's continued strength. With the SPD steady and the FDP below the threshold, the CDU/CSU will likely need to engage in complex negotiations to form a governing coalition.

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