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Heritage Foundation’s fertility crisis report ignites political firestorm over ‘demographic winter’

A dire warning about America’s future collides with controversy. Can policymakers look past the noise to save the next generation?

The image shows a paper with two pictures and text on it, depicting the setting of Tory rule and...
The image shows a paper with two pictures and text on it, depicting the setting of Tory rule and the dawn of liberal day. There are several people, animals, and other objects in the image, all of which are depicted in black and white.

Heritage Foundation’s fertility crisis report ignites political firestorm over ‘demographic winter’

A new report from the Heritage Foundation has sparked heated debate over America’s falling birth rates. The conservative think tank released a whitepaper warning of a 'precipitous drop in fertility' and its long-term consequences. Yet the document’s launch was quickly overshadowed by controversy surrounding the organisation’s leadership.

The Heritage Foundation’s paper highlights a looming demographic shift. Government projections suggest deaths will surpass births in the US within four years. By 2055, the population is expected to begin shrinking—a trend some analysts call a 'demographic winter'.

Criticism came swiftly from multiple sides. Left-leaning commentators condemned the report as racist, though no direct evidence of racial bias was cited. Meanwhile, classically liberal conservatives attacked the think tank for proposing policies resembling Hungary’s family subsidies under Viktor Orbán. These incentives, which include tax breaks and cash payments for larger families, have been labelled as 'Orbán-style government giveaways'. The backlash intensified due to separate controversies involving Heritage’s president, Kevin Roberts. His recent remarks and political stances drew fresh scrutiny, further diverting attention from the report’s findings. The whitepaper itself, which diagnoses and proposes solutions for the 'health of the American family,' does not list a specific author in available sources.

The report arrives at a time when fertility rates are already declining across developed nations. With federal data forecasting a shrinking population by mid-century, policymakers may face growing pressure to address the issue. For now, the Heritage Foundation’s proposals remain mired in political dispute rather than substantive debate.

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