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Moscow’s 2045 Migration Plan Could Reshape Its Population Forever

A bold policy aims to streamline migration, yet experts warn of a dramatic demographic overhaul. Will Moscow’s identity transform by mid-century?

This is a picture of a city, where there are buildings, trees, poles, roads, vehicles , sky.
This is a picture of a city, where there are buildings, trees, poles, roads, vehicles , sky.

Moscow’s 2045 Migration Plan Could Reshape Its Population Forever

Russian authorities have outlined a migration policy for Moscow up to 2045. The plan prioritises legal pathways and integration, aiming to reduce irregular migration and support diverse migrant populations. However, it does not specify any particular age or ethnic groups.

The situation remains flexible, hinging on future demographic policies and economic conditions. These factors could significantly reshape migration flows and Moscow's population structure.

Demographic trends suggest a decline in the Slavic population. Geneticist Konstantin Kitaev predicts that the share of Slavic residents in Moscow could decrease to just 20% by 2045.

The migration policy for Moscow up to 2045 focuses on creating legal pathways and promoting integration. However, demographic trends indicate a significant reduction in the Slavic population, potentially dropping to 20% by 2045.

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