Russia’s Military Crisis Deepens as Losses Mount in Avdiivka
Russian forces have suffered significant losses in the city of Avdiivka, with estimates suggesting around 120,000 killed or wounded. This has put President Putin's leadership under immense pressure, with minimal territorial gains to show for the heavy losses.
Putin's government is now resorting to desperate measures to bolster its troops. It is offering substantial financial incentives, such as signing bonuses of up to 34,000 euros, and launching aggressive recruitment campaigns. Additionally, a new law has been proposed to enable the conscription of former conscripts without a general mobilisation or martial law. However, these efforts may not be enough to stem the tide of Russia's military struggles.
Western intelligence agencies view Russia's steep losses as a potential turning point in the Ukraine war. The heavy casualties and stagnant progress on the front lines are piling pressure on Putin and his inner circle. Growing unease is observed among Russia's top brass, with everyone in the Kremlin reportedly very nervous. Renowned security expert Joachim Krause echoes this sentiment, noting that Putin is facing mounting pressure in the war in Ukraine.
Russia's military strategy is plagued by outdated tactics, logistical failures, recruitment shortfalls, and technological deficiencies. These challenges are exacerbated by difficulties in mobilising new recruits, rising public resistance to the war, and problems in training and equipping fresh soldiers. The heavy losses and struggles to replenish its ranks are also taking a toll on troop morale.
The heavy losses in Avdiivka and the subsequent struggles to replenish Russia's military ranks are putting significant pressure on Putin's leadership. While desperate measures are being taken to boost troop numbers, the future of the war in Ukraine remains uncertain. The potential turning point in the conflict, as viewed by Western intelligence agencies, may force Putin to reassess his military strategy and the costs of the war.
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