Prognosis: Cities and municipalities lose 236,000 residents - Thuringia's Districts Face Major Demographic Shifts by 2040
Thuringia's districts face significant demographic shifts over the next two decades. The Statistical Office projects a loss of around 236,000 residents, equivalent to 15 percent of the population, with most municipalities experiencing decline.
The projected changes will vary greatly. While 58.8 percent of municipalities anticipate a loss of between 10 and 30 percent, others may shrink by up to 59.4 percent or grow by up to 58.7 percent. Only 3 percent are expected to maintain stable numbers, and 7.5 percent may see growth exceeding 2 percent.
The average calculator in these municipalities is forecast to rise by 2.2 years, peaking at 50.8 years in 2042. In contrast, Dieterode in Eichsfeld will remain the youngest, with an average calculator of 40.6 years. However, by 2045, Waltersdorf in the Saale-Holzland district is projected to be Thuringia's oldest municipality, with an average calculator of 69.1 years.
These demographic changes, driven by trends in birth rates, mortality, and migration, will significantly reshape Thuringia's districts over the next two decades. Municipalities must plan accordingly to address the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
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