AfD's mixed fortunes in eastern Germany reveal shifting voter loyalties
The latest episode of Bundestalk, our weekly political podcast, examines the AfD’s recent struggles and shifting voter trends. Hosted by domestic policy correspondent Sabine am Orde, the discussion includes insights from AfD expert Gareth Joswig, investigations chief Anne Fromm, and parliamentary correspondent Stefan Reinecke.
The episode arrives as the far-right party faces mixed fortunes in eastern Germany, despite strong polling numbers in some regions. The AfD has long held its strongest support in eastern Germany. Yet this year, it has lost ground, securing just two victories out of 26 mayoral and district council races it contested. One notable defeat came in Uckermark, where CDU politician Karina Dörk retained her district council seat with a clear lead over AfD challenger Felix Teichner. During her campaign, Dörk dismissed debates over a so-called 'firewall' against the AfD as a distraction, calling them 'pseudo-issues'.
Nationally, the AfD now leads the CDU/CSU by two to three points in opinion polls. But in eastern states like Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, its support remains even higher, at 41% and 36% respectively. Despite this, research shows only a small share of voters leaving the CDU and CSU have switched to the AfD. A larger group appears to be turning to left-wing parties or planning to abstain entirely.
The podcast episode explores these trends, offering analysis on how mainstream parties might respond to the AfD’s rise. Bundestalk is available weekly on our website, as well as Spotify, Deezer, and iTunes. The AfD’s recent electoral setbacks in eastern Germany contrast with its strong polling in the same region. Meanwhile, the CDU’s ability to hold key seats suggests shifting voter behaviour rather than a straightforward swing to the far right. The podcast’s discussion highlights the complexities behind these political movements.
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