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California Democrats push new tax hikes despite $16.8B revenue surge

A budget surplus hasn't stopped California's push for new taxes. Will higher levies fix inequality—or deepen the state's fiscal divides?

The image shows an old map of the state of California, with text and a stamp on the paper. The map...
The image shows an old map of the state of California, with text and a stamp on the paper. The map is from 1851 and is a topographic representation of the area.

California Democrats push new tax hikes despite $16.8B revenue surge

California’s Democratic leaders are pushing for higher taxes on businesses and the wealthy in this election year. Their argument is simple: the richest residents and corporations must 'pay their fair share.' But with the state already collecting billions more than expected, critics question whether more tax hikes are needed—or whether the focus should shift to fixing long-term budget issues instead. Gov. Gavin Newsom recently proposed a revised budget that includes $5.1 billion in new business taxes. The move comes even as California faces an unexpected $16.8 billion surge in tax revenue, driven largely by stock market gains and capital gains earnings. This windfall has allowed Newsom to claim a balanced budget, easing pressure on lawmakers.

The state already has the highest income tax rate in the US at 13.3%, along with the seventh-highest sales tax at 8.99%. Despite this, the top 1% of taxpayers paid 40% of all income tax revenue in 2024, while earning just 24% of the state’s taxable income. The top 0.1% contributed 21% of the tax take, despite earning only 12% of the income. Meanwhile, middle-class families with incomes between £73,000 and £139,000 accounted for just 9% of the state’s income tax revenue. Among the leading Democratic candidates for governor, former Orange County Rep. Katie Porter wants to raise taxes on the most profitable corporations. Her plan would fund free childcare and college tuition. Billionaire Tom Steyer, another prominent figure, has called for closing corporate tax loopholes by rolling back Proposition 13’s property tax breaks for commercial properties. He also backs a new 'billionaire tax.' However, critics argue that these proposals focus on expanding programmes rather than addressing California’s deeper fiscal challenges.

The debate over tax increases comes at a time when California’s revenue is already growing faster than expected. While Democratic candidates push for higher levies on businesses and the wealthy, the state’s reliance on a small group of high earners remains a key issue. The outcome of these proposals could shape both the upcoming election and the state’s financial future.

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