California's governor race risks a historic Democratic shutout in November
California’s race for governor has taken an unexpected turn as Democrats face the risk of being left out of the general election. With ten candidates competing in a nonpartisan primary, only four have reached double-digit support in recent polls. The top two vote-getters will advance, regardless of party—raising the possibility of a Republican-only contest in November.
A year ago, Vice President Kamala Harris led the field with 31% support in statewide polling. But in July 2024, she ruled out entering the race, leaving the Democratic field without a clear frontrunner. Since then, leading Democrats have avoided public criticism of the candidates, though some privately describe the lineup as underwhelming.
The primary includes eight Democrats and two Republicans. Despite the crowded field, only four contenders have managed to break 10% in the polls. The format means the two highest vote-winners—even if both are Republicans—will proceed to the general election. Meanwhile, Harris remains on a book tour and has not announced plans for a 2028 presidential run. TV host Sunny Hostin recently urged her to reconsider a gubernatorial bid, but Harris has stood by her decision to stay out of the race.
The outcome of the primary could reshape California’s political landscape. If Democrats fail to secure a top-two spot, November’s election would feature no Democratic candidate for the first time in decades. The final results will determine whether the party retains a chance to lead the state.
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