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Germany's slumping economy unlocks billions in extra borrowing for Klingbeil

A shrinking economy hands Lars Klingbeil an unexpected windfall. How Germany's debt rules turn slow growth into fiscal flexibility.

The image shows an old German External Loan from 1924 with a picture of a woman on it. The paper...
The image shows an old German External Loan from 1924 with a picture of a woman on it. The paper has text and numbers written on it, likely indicating the denomination of the loan.

Germany's slumping economy unlocks billions in extra borrowing for Klingbeil

The bleak economic outlook for Germany is giving Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) additional leeway for new borrowing. Next year alone, the SPD leader will be allowed to take on €3.8 billion more in debt within the core budget than previously planned, Der Spiegel reported on Wednesday. By 2030, the total extra borrowing capacity rises to €7.3 billion.

The relaxed fiscal rules stem from the government's spring economic forecast, which significantly downgraded growth expectations. Instead of the previously projected 1.0 percent expansion, Germany now anticipates just 0.5 percent growth this year. Under existing debt rules, weaker economic performance allows the federal government to temporarily increase borrowing.

As a result, the so-called cyclical adjustment for 2027 has climbed from €8.5 billion in the autumn forecast to €12.3 billion. This sum is on top of the baseline borrowing limit—already set at 0.35 percent of economic output under Germany's debt brake. That baseline has also increased slightly due to revised estimates, now amounting to €15.6 billion. Combined, the government's total permitted borrowing for 2027 will reach around €27.9 billion.

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